forex Cuc Currency Thoughts

Cuc Currency Thoughts




Hungary's Monetary Policy Left Unchanged

The Magyar Nemzeti Bank retained a 9.5% benchmark rate as expected. Typical of other European economies, GDP growth has tumbled (-3.9% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in 4Q08), and inflation has declined appreciably from 6.7% in in the year to March 2008 to an in-target 2.9% in the year to March 2009. However, the Hungarian forint depreciated some 28% over the past twelve months, and officials are reluctant to expose the currency to more selling pressure. A statement was released that warned of more pronounced import price inflation associated with exchange rate losses.

To secure an IMF-engineered loan package, the central bank raised its key rate by 300 basis points last October 22nd but subsequently cut such by 50 basis points each on November 24, December 8, December 22, and January 19. That was the last time monetary policy was changed.

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This entry was posted on Monday, April 20th, 2009 at 12:47 pm and is filed under Central Bank Watch. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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